“Introduce a little anarchy, upset the established order and everything becomes chaos”
– Heath Ledger
The Punch line of Fourth generation Warfare (4th GW) is lethal combination of ad hoc warriors and moral conflict. Notwithstanding other issues, Pakistan is facing 4thGW for the last 15 years and maneuvering it far better to other countries.
It may come as a surprise factor that India’s current National Security advisor Ajit Kumar Doval was undercover in Pakistan for 7 years. Moreover another mystic tale of a spy named Ravinder Kaushik has surfaced recently, and his objective was to infiltrate Pakistan Army which according to the tale he managed to accomplish. He joined the Pakistan army and was promoted to the rank of a major. Another case of Gopal Das, one of Pakistan’s longest-serving Indian prisoners, was released after Pakistan’s Ex-President Asif Ali Zardari intervened in his case. Upon his release, Das admitted he was an Indian spy. Similarly, Kashmir Singh, sentenced to death in Pakistan in 1973 for spying, was released in March 2008. Afterwards, he also admitted that he was spying for RAW.
The fact of the matter is that admission of the Indian spies indicates that RAW has a well-organized spy-network in Pakistan. The capture of the RAW agent “Kulbhushan Jhadev” is the latest evidence of Pakistan claims that the neighboring country India is actively trying to destabilize the country. The Indian ambassador was summoned last week by Pakistan Officials to dissent against the illegal entry of RAW agent in the territory of Pakistan. RAW agent Kulbhushan Jhadev is a serving Indian Navy Officer of Indian Naval Force with registration number Z-41558.
From reliable intelligence sources, it has been revealed that Kulbhushan Jhadev was captured one month ago during a covert operation on Pakistani soil near the Iranian border by Pakistani intelligence institutions. He was double crossed by the same group which he was using against Pakistan, Jhadev travelled for a meeting and Pakistan officials snared him. Pakistan was tracking him for the last two years and mentioned about him various times in the dossiers given to India.
Indian High Officials rebutted Pakistan’s assertions and maintained the stance that Kulbhushan has no link with the government since his premature retirement from the Indian navy , in a unique way, they maintained plausible deniability. It can be termed as a stance which can be used later on for providing assistance to RAW spy in judicial process inside Pakistan based on his “Indian nationality”.
Geo Political analysts from different circles are terming it as an exposition of Indian intentions, plans and policies for Pakistan. However Pakistan has also decided to send a clear message to Iranian government over the use of Iranian soil by India, as Kulbhushan Jhadev came to Pakistan via Iran.
During initial investigation RAW agent revealed that basic objective of his mission was to sabotage the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and provide training to Baloch Separatist Terrorists. His objectives have clearly indicated that India wants to tear apart the Balochistan province to create a state of anarchy in the country.
Pakistan has decided to make a move in the United Nations and inform the forum about Indian Secret Agency RAW’s intention to make Pakistan a faltering and fumbling state. On the other hand, to mask its covert actions and intentions, India is ready to use D&D (denial and deception), the tool of fourth generation warfare for maneuvering the table.
Coinciding with the arrest that was widely reported ;a barbaric incident took place in Lahore on Sunday, 27th March, 2015. The attack coincided with the Christian community’s Easter Sunday and many Christian families were celebrating the holiday in the park after attending church services. Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, the Islamist militant group who took responsibility for the bombing, declared it an official attack on Pakistan’s 2.5 million-strong minority.
On the same day about 2,000 people protesting the execution of Mumtaz Qadri were staging a sit-in at D-Chowk, Islamabad within the capital’s Red Zone and challenging the writ of the state. The protesters led by Sunni Tehrik (ST) and Tehreek-i-Labbaik Ya Rasool (SAW) leadership had arrived in the capital on Sunday to attend Qadri’s Chehlum (40th day after death of a person in Islamic rituals) and their blind followers turned violent as they removed containers and blockades on the way to the Parliament House and also set some containers on fire before arriving outside the building where fiery anti-government speeches were delivered.
When riots crossed the threshold, the Triple One Brigade (111-Brigade) of the Pakistan Army had to be moved in to secure the sensitive installations in Islamabad.
Various media and political analysts are questioning the arrangement of Chelum on 27th day of the hanging of Qadri instead of the 40th. This not only resulted in the siege of Islamabad but also produced a chaotic scenery when it was coupled with blood bath in Lahore.
Perhaps a perfect display of “creative chaos theory”!!
This explains that existing chaos is either exacerbated or chaos is deliberately engineered to distort public perceptions, cultivate favorable space and advantageous environment in pursuit of envisioned policy objective. From the confessions of the RAW Spy, one can easly analyze the chain of events and dots can be connected. Capture of RAW spy, Lahore incident and D-Chowk chaos, all are interlinked if someone is ready to look beyond the obvious.
At some point, the ripples from the chaos you generate, whether deliberately or by accident, converge into the kind of perfect wave of horror that you just may not be able to surf out of. Same happens with the enemies of Pakistan and violent non-state actors (VNSAs), after the deadly attack in Lahore and siege of Islamabad. An Anti-terror crackdown has been launched on the orders of the COAS General Raheel Sharif’s in southern Punjab, long believed to be a hotbed of religious extremism and militancy. The troops from the Army and Rangers took part in the crackdown, more than 80 militants and facilitators were captured from Punjab.
Sunday’s terrorist attack was the deadliest in since the December 2014 massacre of 134 school children at Army Public School in the city of Peshawar that prompted a military-led crackdown on militancy and terrorism called the operation Zarb-e-Azb. In order to avoid such terror attacks and maneuver these hurdles a strategy should be revised not only for domestic security arrangements like National Action Plan but also a regional doctrine should be produced and exercised.
While we recognize that our best defense is a good offense, we should also strengthen the homeland security to protect against any kind of attack. The idea of covert and overt opts with the help of regional friends and countries should also be put on the table. We are also guided by the conviction that no nation can build a safer, better world alone. Multilateral institutions and Alliances can multiply the strength of freedom loving nations. But activities like such RAW and Iranian agents would diffuse the regional coordination and it will halt the cooperation among various countries and trans-regional economic connectivity will suffer through these incidents.
The world cannot be a better place with good men not planning and better ones not implementing it.
is a lecturer at the Muslim Youth University. He has done his M.Phil from the National Defence University, Islamabad. Ousama writes on contemporary issues related to foreign policy and security.